Wednesday, August 09, 2006

shakeup in November?

Josh Marshall at today on what Lieberman's loss in the Connecticut Democratic primary might mean:

If this were just a matter of Joe Lieberman's hubris and obliviousness, the story of his demise might have a human significance but not a larger political one. But the Lieberman train wreck is also part of the unfolding story of the 2006 election cycle and the dangerous gulf widening between Washington and the country at large.

. . .

The polls tell us the President's approval rating seldom gets out of the 30s. Congress is unpopular. Incumbents are unpopular. Voters prefer Democrats over Republicans by a margin of about 15%. When a once-popular three-term Senator gets bounced in a primary battle with a political unknown, it's a very big deal. Those numbers all add up to a political upheaval this November. The folks in D.C. see the numbers. But they haven't gotten their heads around what they mean. Joe was out of touch. And Washington, D.C., is too.

They didn't see the Joe train wreck coming and they're not ready for what's coming next either.

Well, after November 2004, the fizzling of Fitzmas, and a whole string of demoralizing setbacks for the left since Bush took office, I have learned not to underestimate the power of the Republican political machine. But I sure hope Josh is right …

No comments: